Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000432 0.000480 0.000535 0.000599 0.000674 0.000760 0.000866
2024-12-22 0.000351 0.000416 0.000494 0.000597 0.000730 0.000900 0.001138
2024-12-29 0.000305 0.000378 0.000472 0.000603 0.000788 0.001049 0.001459
2025-01-05 0.000275 0.000353 0.000457 0.000613 0.000848 0.001208 0.001839
2025-01-12 0.000246 0.000324 0.000432 0.000602 0.000872 0.001316 0.002169
2025-01-19 0.000231 0.000312 0.000429 0.000620 0.000943 0.001514 0.002732
2025-01-26 0.000208 0.000286 0.000401 0.000594 0.000936 0.001572 0.003038
2025-02-02 0.000196 0.000274 0.000392 0.000598 0.000980 0.001735 0.003648
2025-02-09 0.000188 0.000267 0.000391 0.000615 0.001048 0.001967 0.004555
2025-02-16 0.000180 0.000260 0.000388 0.000628 0.001112 0.002208 0.005645
2025-02-23 0.000174 0.000256 0.000391 0.000650 0.001201 0.002538 0.007281
2025-03-02 0.000167 0.000249 0.000386 0.000656 0.001255 0.002800 0.008936
2025-03-09 0.000156 0.000234 0.000369 0.000640 0.001260 0.002944 0.010346
2025-03-16 0.000148 0.000226 0.000361 0.000641 0.001309 0.003245 0.012979
2025-03-23 0.000142 0.000219 0.000356 0.000649 0.001376 0.003642 0.016964
2025-03-30 0.000137 0.000214 0.000354 0.000660 0.001456 0.004127 0.022877
2025-04-06 0.000130 0.000204 0.000341 0.000648 0.001468 0.004375 0.027773
2025-04-13 0.000126 0.000202 0.000343 0.000668 0.001580 0.005099 0.041004
2025-04-20 0.000119 0.000190 0.000325 0.000640 0.001540 0.005139 0.045970
2025-04-27 0.000114 0.000185 0.000321 0.000645 0.001603 0.005717 0.064175
2025-05-04 0.000112 0.000183 0.000322 0.000663 0.001716 0.006657 0.103301
2025-05-11 0.000109 0.000181 0.000322 0.000677 0.001821 0.007674 0.172141
2025-05-18 0.000108 0.000180 0.000326 0.000702 0.001976 0.009214 0.355654